Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jan 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield0 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, January 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, January 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Independiente
Saturday, January 27 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, January 27 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 29.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Independiente |
40.62% ( 0.05) | 30.13% ( -0.11) | 29.26% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 40.72% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.73% ( 0.34) | 66.27% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.23% ( 0.23) | 84.77% ( -0.23) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( 0.2) | 32.12% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% ( 0.23) | 68.6% ( -0.23) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% ( 0.25) | 40.01% ( -0.25) |