Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Grazer AK had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Grazer AK win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.