MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:46:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 1
Hartberg

Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-0 Swarovski
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
51.44% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)45.31% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (-0.058 -0.06)67.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)32.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.12 -0.12)68.66% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.44%
    Hartberg 24.87%
    Draw 23.69%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.87%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1392229151429
2Rapid Vienna137511812626
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna137331913624
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg115331514118
5Wolfsberger135262319417
6BW Linz135261618-217
7LASK LinzLASK135262020017
8Hartberg124441616016
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt124351320-715
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski133371118-712
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach132381218-69
12Grazer AKGrazer131661625-99


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