Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz2 - 1Hartberg
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Hartberg 3-0 Swarovski
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Hartberg |
51.44% ( 0.09) | 23.7% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
