MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 13:01:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 1
Hartberg

Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-0 Swarovski
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
51.44% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)45.31% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (-0.058 -0.06)67.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)32.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.12 -0.12)68.66% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.44%
    Hartberg 24.87%
    Draw 23.69%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.87%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1282227141326
2Rapid Vienna126511612423
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna126331813521
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg105321512318
5Wolfsberger125252318517
6Hartberg114431514116
7Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt114341318-515
8BW Linz124261418-414
9LASK LinzLASK124261819-114
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski123361016-612
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach122371116-59
12Grazer AKGrazer120661424-106


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