MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:18:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
UPC-Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Swarovski

Wuthrich (44')
Hierlander (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ertlthaler (57'), Taferner (75'), Ustundag (81'), Gugganig (84'), Kronberger (87')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Swarovski 2-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
50.69% (0.292 0.29) 22.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 26.43% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.22900000000001 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75% (-0.188 -0.19)40.25% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37% (-0.195 -0.2)62.63% (0.194 0.19)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)16.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)45.4% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.304 -0.3)28.26% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.386 -0.39)63.97% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 50.69%
    WSG Swarovski Tirol 26.43%
    Draw 22.88%
Sturm GrazDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 26.43%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1392229151429
2Rapid Vienna137511812626
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna137331913624
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg115331514118
5Wolfsberger135262319417
6BW Linz135261618-217
7LASK LinzLASK135262020017
8Hartberg124441616016
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt124351320-715
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski133371118-712
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach132381218-69
12Grazer AKGrazer131661625-99


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