Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Zaglebiowski Park Sportowy
Rakow0 - 1Sturm Graz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rakow 3-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Swarovski
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Sturm Graz
While Sturm Graz arguably boast more quality than their hosts and are more well-versed on the continental stage, Rakow will certainly be no pushovers, particularly in Poland, and we fancy them to score a first point from a low-scoring draw on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sturm Graz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Sturm Graz |
29.83% ( -0.04) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 43.27% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
