Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz4 - 1BW Linz
FT(HT: 2-0)
Affengruber (54' og.)
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and BW Linz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-1 Sturm Graz
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: BW Linz 0-5 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
Result | ||
Sturm Graz | Draw | BW Linz |
45.61% ( -0.01) | 24.59% ( -0) | 29.8% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% ( 0.01) | 45.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% ( 0.01) | 68.05% ( -0.01) |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0) | 20.14% ( -0) |