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Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
Jul 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
Osauna logo

Barcelona
1 - 2
Osasuna

Messi (62')
Semedo (54'), Rakitic (57'), Pique (69'), Firpo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arnaiz (15'), Torres (90+4')
Sanjurjo (63')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Osasuna, including team news and predicted lineups.

Barcelona will welcome Osasuna to Camp Nou on Thursday hoping that a victory will be enough to keep their hopes of retaining the La Liga title alive.

The Spanish champions are currently second in the table, four points behind leaders Real Madrid, who will win the title if they manage to beat Villarreal on the same night.


Match preview

Barcelona's Arturo Vidal celebrates scoring against Real Valladolid in La Liga on July 11, 2020© Reuters

It is difficult to be too crucial of Barca, but there is no question that the Catalan giants have not been at their best since returning to action last month following the lockdown period.

Quique Setien's side have won each of their last three league games against Villarreal, Espanyol and Real Valladolid but drew three of their four between June 19 and June 30 to hand the advantage to Real Madrid.

As mentioned, Zinedine Zidane's team will win the title if they beat Villarreal on Thursday, while two draws in their final two games would also be enough due to their superior head-to-head record over Barca.

The reigning champions must win their last two against Osasuna and Alaves and hope that there is a slip from the leaders, but it is difficult to imagine that happening at this stage.

It could still be a successful campaign for the club, though, as they will face Napoli in the second leg of their last-16 Champions League clash on August 8 and are certainly capable of being a threat in that competition, even if they are to release their grip on the La Liga title.

Barca were held to a 2-2 draw by Osasuna earlier this season, but they recorded a 7-1 victory when the two teams last locked horns at Camp Nou in April 2017.

Osasuna manager Jagoba Arrasate in August 2019.© Reuters

Osasuna were promoted back to this level courtesy of winning the Segunda Division last season and therefore consolidating at this level was always going to be their number one priority.

As it has turned out, though, Jagoba Arrasate's side have performed above expectations in Spain's top flight this term and currently sit 11th in the table, 16 points clear of the relegation zone.

They are only three points off eight-placed Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, and will fancy their chances of finishing their season with a positive result at home to Mallorca this weekend.

Los Rojillos have not actually beaten Barca at Camp Nou since May 2009, but they will enter this match in impressive form, winning four of their last six in the league, including a 2-0 win over Celta Vigo on July 11.

Osasuna's away record this season has also been impressive, losing just seven of their 18 matches, picking up 21 points in the process, which is extremely strong for a newly-promoted side.

Barcelona La Liga form: WDDWWW

Osasuna La Liga form: WWWDLW


Team News

Antoine Griezmann pictured on June 23, 2020© Reuters

Barca will again be without the services of Ousmane Dembele due to a long-term hamstring injury, while Antoine Griezmann is also a major doubt, having been forced off at the interval of the clash with Valladolid.

Griezmann complained of a thigh problem during the first half of his side's 1-0 win, and it seems unlikely that the France international will be available for Thursday's clash.

Frenkie de Jong has been out since the middle of June with a calf problem, but the Netherlands international should be back for this match; Samuel Umtiti, though, is still out with a knee problem.

Setien could again select a midfield diamond with Luis Suarez, who started on the bench against Valladolid, joining Lionel Messi in attack, and Arturo Vidal operating just behind.

As for Osasuna, Chimy Avila and Marc Cardona are both still on the sidelines, while Robert Ibanez, Unai Garcia and Ruben Garcia are all doubts for the visitors.

Arrasate is expected to shuffle his pack from the side that started against Celta, with Jose Arnaiz, Nacho Vidal and Kike Barja all in line for starts.

Toni Lato, Fran Merida and Jon Moncayola could also come into the first XI as Arrasate is likely to have one eye on Sunday's clash with Mallorca, which is a game that they will expect to win.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Semedo, Pique, Lenglet, Alba; Roberto, Busquets, De Jong; Vidal; Suarez, Messi

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Garcia, Navas, Hernandez; Vidal, Moncayola, Merida, Lato; Arnaiz, Gallego, Barja


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are certainly capable of making it a very uncomfortable evening for Barca, but we are finding it difficult to look past the champions, who have to win and hope that Real Madrid slip up. We cannot see anything other than a routine home victory for Setien's side.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Real Sociedad124351010015
11GironaGirona124351517-215
12Sevilla124351217-515
13Celta Vigo114161720-313
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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