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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon

Guimaraes
4 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Silva (7'), Cesar (69'), Mendes (82'), Ndembo-Michel (85')
Samu (9'), Mendes (56'), Rivas (89'), Arcanjo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gyokeres (2', 14', 57'), Trincao (90+5')
Morita (18'), Gyokeres (75'), Araujo (81'), St Juste (84'), Fresneda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, December 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Benfica
Sunday, December 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes will no doubt make Friday's clash a competitive affair given they lost their manager to the visitors. Sporting might have to endure spells of pressure from the hosts, but while their away record in recent weeks has not been particularly strong, Borges's players will come into the match confident after their victory against Benfica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
26.84% (1.443 1.44) 24.56% (0.14 0.14) 48.6% (-1.586 -1.59)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.865 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (0.522 0.52)47.44% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (0.479 0.48)69.65% (-0.483 -0.48)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (1.436 1.44)31.72% (-1.44 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (1.62 1.62)68.13% (-1.624 -1.62)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.438 -0.44)19.57% (0.435 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)51.49% (0.716 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 26.84%
    Sporting Lisbon 48.6%
    Draw 24.55%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.124 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.227 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.202 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.84%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.6%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Sporting Lisbon
75.0%
72
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Goncalves (30'), Gyokeres (45+3', 49')
Trincao (70')

Oliveira (90+3')
Dec 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13AVS172961324-1115
14Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16Nacional163491123-1213
17SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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