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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham nets a 95th-minute winner as 10-man Real Madrid record a 2-1 victory over Valencia in Friday night's La Liga affair.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Friday's La Liga contest with Valencia at Mestalla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
25.37% (-0.38 -0.38) 25.87% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09) 48.76% (0.471 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)53.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.064 0.06)75.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.281 -0.28)36.36% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.287 -0.29)73.14% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.242 0.24)22.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.363 0.36)55.46% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 25.37%
    Real Madrid 48.76%
    Draw 25.87%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.76%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Valencia
Draw
Real Madrid
Valencia
11.5%
Draw
8.8%
Real Madrid
79.6%
226
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties)
Benzema (39' pen.)
Lino (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona29213582285466
2Real Madrid29196462293363
3Atletico MadridAtletico29169447232457
4Athletic Bilbao291411446242253
5Villarreal28138751391247
6Real BetisBetis2913884036447
7Rayo Vallecano29101093331240
8Celta Vigo29117114242040
9Mallorca29117112835-740
10Real Sociedad29115132731-438
11Getafe2999112625136
12Sevilla2999113339-636
13GironaGirona2997133745-834
14Osasuna2971393342-934
15Valencia29710123246-1431
16Espanyol2878132740-1329
17AlavesAlaves2969143244-1227
18Leganes2969142846-1827
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2968153348-1526
20Real ValladolidValladolid2944211965-4616


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