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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham nets a 95th-minute winner as 10-man Real Madrid record a 2-1 victory over Valencia in Friday night's La Liga affair.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Friday's La Liga contest with Valencia at Mestalla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
25.37% (-0.38 -0.38) 25.87% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09) 48.76% (0.471 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)53.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.064 0.06)75.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.281 -0.28)36.36% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.287 -0.29)73.14% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.242 0.24)22.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.363 0.36)55.46% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 25.37%
    Real Madrid 48.76%
    Draw 25.87%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.76%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Valencia
11.5%
Draw
8.8%
Real Madrid
79.6%
226
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties)
Benzema (39' pen.)
Lino (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona22143560243645
4Athletic Bilbao22118333201341
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Osasuna227962731-430
8Mallorca2293101928-930
9Real BetisBetis227872528-329
10GironaGirona218492929028
11Real Sociedad2284101819-128
12Sevilla227782430-628
13Celta Vigo2274113135-425
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2256112534-921
19Valencia2247112237-1519
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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