Reaction
Real Madrid achieve winning feat for first time this century in dramatic late Valencia fightback
Real Madrid achieve a winning feat for the first time in the 21st century with their late fightback in Friday's 2-1 away win over Valencia.
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The Match
Match Report
Jude Bellingham nets a 95th-minute winner as 10-man Real Madrid record a 2-1 victory over Valencia in Friday night's La Liga affair.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Friday's La Liga contest with Valencia at Mestalla.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
25.37% ( -0.38) | 25.87% ( -0.09) | 48.76% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( 0.08) | 53.84% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( 0.06) | 75.3% ( -0.07) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( -0.28) | 36.36% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.29) | 73.14% ( 0.29) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.24) | 22.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.36) | 55.46% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Valencia 25.37%
Real Madrid 48.76%
Draw 25.87%
| Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.76% |
How you voted: Valencia vs Real Madrid
Valencia
11.5%Draw
8.8%Real Madrid
79.6%226
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties)
Benzema (39' pen.)
Lino (46')
Form Guide
Build-up
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