Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CR Belouizdad win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CR Belouizdad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CR Belouizdad in this match.