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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Barcelona logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Barcelona

Chukwueze (26'), Griezmann (28', 35')
Griezmann (50'), Albiol (66'), Torres (74'), Busquets (82'), Mingueza (90+3')
Trigueros (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Preview: Villarreal vs. Barcelona - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Arguably the standout fixture in the latest set of La Liga matches will take place at Estadio de la Ceramica on Sunday afternoon as Villarreal welcome Barcelona.

Barca are currently third in the table, five points behind leaders Atletico Madrid with a game in hand, while Villarreal occupy seventh position, one point behind fifth-placed Real Sociedad.


Match preview

Villarreal coach Unai Emery reacts in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal are, as it stands, locked in a three-way battle with Real Sociedad and Real Betis for fifth position, with just one point separating the three teams in Spain's top flight on the same number of matches (32).

The Yellow Submarine have won four of their last six in the league during a strong run of form, but they have been beaten in two of their last three, including a surprise 2-1 loss at Alaves on Wednesday evening.

Unai Emery's side will be determined to claim fifth spot in the league, but there is no question that they will also have one eye on their upcoming Europa League semi-final with Arsenal.

Villarreal will welcome the Gunners for the first leg of the last-four tie next Thursday before hosting Getafe in La Liga ahead of the second leg of the European semi-final at the Emirates Stadium on May 6.

It could be a very exciting end to the season for El Submarino Amarillo, who have won six, drawn six and lost three of their 15 home La Liga matches during the 2020-21 campaign.

Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring against Getafe in La Liga on April 22, 2021© Reuters

Barca, meanwhile, put themselves back in the title picture on Thursday evening courtesy of a 5-2 victory over Getafe, with Lionel Messi scoring twice in a strong performance from the home side.

Ronald Koeman's side lost 2-1 at Real Madrid on April 10 but responded by thumping Athletic Bilbao 4-0 in the Copa del Rey final before putting five past Getafe in their last league encounter.

There is still plenty of work to do for the Catalan giants if they are to rise to the summit, but the gap to leaders Atletico is only five points, and they have a game in hand over Diego Simeone's side.

Barca do not have any European distractions in the final weeks of the season, and it will be fascinating to see where they are in the table heading into the clash with Atletico on May 8.

Koeman's team ran out 4-0 winners in the reverse game at Camp Nou earlier this term, but they have lost four times on their travels in Spain's top flight during the 2020-21 campaign.

Villarreal La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Barcelona's Ousmane Dembele celebrates scoring their first goal on February 27, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal will again be without the services of Vicente Iborra this weekend through injury, while Pervis Estupinan is unlikely to recover from a muscular problem in time for the contest.

The Yellow Submarine have no other fitness concerns at this stage, but there are expected to be a few changes from the side that took to the field against Alaves on Thursday.

Indeed, Sergio Asenjo and Juan Foyth could come into the side, while there is likely to be a return for Pau Torres, who continues to be linked with a move to Manchester United.

As for Barca, Ansu Fati and Philippe Coutinho are both still injured, but Martin Braithwaite could recover from an ankle problem to make the bench this weekend.

Number two goalkeeper Neto and French attacker Ousmane Dembele took part in Friday's training session, meanwhile, and the pair are likely to be back in the squad on Sunday.

Koeman is expected to stick with the majority of the side that started against Getafe despite the quick turnaround in fixtures, although there could be a change on the right, with Sergino Dest potentially coming in for Sergi Roberto, who has only just returned from injury.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Parejo, Capoue, Trigueros; Gomez, Alcacer, G. Moreno

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Mingueza, Pique, Lenglet; Dest, De Jong, Busquets, Pedri, Alba; Messi, Griezmann


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 1-2 Barcelona

Villarreal will be desperate to return to winning ways in the league, but they will have one eye on their Europa League semi-final first leg with Arsenal. Barca will feel that they are very much in the title race at this stage, and we fancy Koeman's side to collect another three points courtesy of a 2-1 success.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:444525:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10493:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Villarreal vs Barcelona

Villarreal
10.0%
Draw
10.6%
Barcelona
79.4%
160
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Villarreal's Pau Torres pictured in March 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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