The standout clash of the Bundesliga action at the weekend sees leaders Bayern Munich host fellow giants RB Leipzig on Saturday evening at the Allianz Arena.
The hosts will be hoping to extend their advantage at the top of the table, whilst the visitors will be looking to continue the fine form achieved under their new boss prior to the international break.
Match preview
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With Bayern unexpectedly losing 2-1 at home to Borussia Monchengladbach on the return from Germany's winter break at the beginning of January, and Borussia Dortmund coming from 2-0 down to dramatically win 3-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt later that weekend, the gap at the top of the Bundesliga was cut from nine points to six.
BVB then took full advantage of an earlier kickoff on the weekend of matchday 19 to thump Freiburg and temporarily cut the gap to three, but in typical Bayern fashion, they have responded in true champion-like style.
A 4-0 hammering at a strong FC Koln side later that weekend saw Julian Nagelsmann's side regain their six-point advantage, and a 4-1 thrashing at Hertha Berlin immediately before the international break means the Bavarians head into this weekend with their six-point lead still intact.
With Dortmund not due to play until Sunday, it provides the league leaders with the opportunity to put the pressure back on their challengers, although they do face one of their tougher tests of the Bundesliga campaign in the form of Leipzig.
Although Nagelsmann has overseen his side fall to two shock defeats at the Allianz Arena already this season, he prepares his men to face his former employers with the plan to replicate their success at the Red Bull Arena back in September.
The 4-1 thrashing against last season's runners-up was the perfect way for Nagelsmann to mark his return to his old stomping ground, and he will be eager to get one over them again on Saturday and extend his current side's advantage at the summit in the process.
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Meanwhile, visitors Leipzig have a new manager in place to the one that suffered that 4-1 hammering earlier in the campaign.
Domenico Tedesco has replaced predecessor Jesse Marsch since then, and the former Spartak Moscow boss has overseen a strong start to his tenure so far.
Five wins from his seven games in charge in all competitions has seen Die Roten Bullen revive their faltering start to the season, by reaching the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal and climbing up to sixth in the table in the process.
Although the visitors have no hope of challenging Bayern for their title this time around, with a huge 18-point gap separating the two sides as things stand, Tedesco can at least ensure that Champions League football will be played at the Red Bull Arena again next season.
Before his arrival, that objective was in huge doubt, but Leipzig head into matchday 21 with only a narrow gap of three points keeping them behind Union Berlin inside the top four.
That deficit could be increased at the weekend though, having failed to beat the champions in each of their last eight meetings, although they can at least cling on to the positive of their back-to-back draws earned at the Allianz Arena on their last two visits.
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Team News
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Bayern are likely to remain without Leon Goretzka on Saturday, with the German midfielder continuing to suffer from a knee injury that has kept him sidelined since early December.
Corentin Tolisso should retain his place alongside Joshua Kimmich in front of the defence, with the Frenchman having impressed in Goretzka's absence.
Alphonso Davies remains unavailable for the foreseeable future due to his heart problems, whilst Eric Choupo-Moting and Bouna Sarr remain at the Africa Cup of Nations with Cameroon and Senegal respectively.
Backup defender Josip Stanisic is the only other expected absentee though, with a thigh injury set to rule out the Croatian once more.
As for the visitors, Tyler Adams and Marcel Halstenberg are expected to be ruled out of the trip to the Allianz Arena due to thigh injuries.
Emil Forsberg is also suffering from a similar injury, and is one that has kept him out of the side for the whole of 2022 so far.
As a result, Dominik Szoboszlai and Christopher Nkunku should be the two in behind lone front man Andre Silva for Leipzig.
Amadou Haidara is available once more following his participation at AFCON with Mali, and he could slot straight back into the centre of midfield for this huge fixture.
Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Upamecano, Sule, Hernandez; Kimmich, Tolisso; Gnabry, Muller, Sane; Lewandowski
RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Simakan, Orban, Gvardiol; Mukiele, Haidara, Kampl, Angelino; Szoboszlai, Nkunku; Silva
We say: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig
Despite the calibre of their opponent, and the form that they find themselves in under their new boss, we are expecting Bayern to triumph comfortably on Saturday.
Bayern seem to rise to the occasion of big fixtures like this one and put in scintillating performances, and they will be eager to capitalise on the opportunity to put the pressure on Dortmund by extending their gap to nine points at the top of the table.
Top tip
Matthew Tranter
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
