Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
