Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Rukh Brest win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.