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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Olympisch Stadion
Genk

Beerschot VA
3 - 4
Genk

Henderson (7'), Michez (62'), Tshimanga (88')
Weymans (39'), Michez (45+1'), Matijas (63')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Steuckers (15' pen.), Arokodare (30', 64'), Cuesta (40')
El Ouahdi (90+9')
Mujaid (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Beerschot Wilrijk and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 3-2 Brugge
Sunday, August 11 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Beerschot Wilrijk 1-3 Genk

The last six meetings between Beerschot and Genk have produced a combined 22 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Olympisch Stadion with plenty of goalmouth action. We predict that the Blauw-Wit carry on with the momentum from their comeback against Club Brugge and secure their second win of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Beerschot WilrijkDrawGenk
34.39% (-1.648 -1.65) 24.06% (0.249 0.25) 41.54% (1.399 1.4)
Both teams to score 60.77% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-1.523 -1.52)41.58% (1.524 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-1.557 -1.56)63.98% (1.557 1.56)
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-1.592 -1.59)23.81% (1.59 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-2.338 -2.34)57.99% (2.339 2.34)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (-0.012 -0.01)52.55% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Beerschot Wilrijk 34.39%
    Genk 41.54%
    Draw 24.06%
Beerschot WilrijkDrawGenk
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.39%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.323 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.516 0.52)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.411 0.41)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.217 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.54%

How you voted: Beerschot VA vs Genk

Beerschot Wilrijk
7.7%
Draw
7.7%
Genk
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Genk
4-1
Beerschot VA
Hrosovsky (20'), Ito (32'), Bongonda (79' pen.), Nemeth (90+2')
Arteaga (65')
Noubissi (88')
Lemos (31'), Vaca (86')
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Beerschot VA
2-0
Genk
Shankland (4'), Caicedo (90+2')
Dom (62')

Thorstvedt (54')
Feb 21, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 27
Genk
1-2
Beerschot VA
Hrosovsky (90+3')
Bongonda (66'), Munoz (81')
Van den Bergh (65'), Holzhauser (82' pen.)
Radic (14'), Sanusi (58'), Pietermaat (89')
Sep 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Beerschot VA
5-2
Genk
Holzhauser (12', 63' pen.), Bourdin (49'), Vorogovskiy (85'), Noubissi (90')
Onuachu (19' pen.), Dessers (76' pen.)
Cuesta (58'), Lucumi (74')
Cuesta (59'), Bongonda (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk1410132819931
2Royal AntwerpAntwerp1482427111626
3Club BruggeBrugge147432316725
4Anderlecht1465324121223
5GentGent1464423121122
6MechelenMechelen146352819921
7Union SGUnion SG144731712519
8Westerlo145362323018
9Standard Liege14536918-918
10CharleroiCharleroi145271416-217
11Sint-Truiden144552024-417
12Dender144551723-617
13Leuven143741418-416
14Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge144371626-1015
15KortrijkKortrijk144281025-1514
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA141491231-197


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