MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:30:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Genk

Union SG
2 - 0
Genk

Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 1-0 Antwerp
Monday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 2-1 Genk

Needing all three points to stand any chance of being crowned champions, Union SG are faced with a must-win clash this weekend, and we are backing them to rise up to the task and come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
51.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 23% (0.012 0.01) 25.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.86% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.03% (0.036000000000008 0.04)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)16.24% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 51.55%
    Genk 25.46%
    Draw 22.99%
Union SGDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Union SG vs Genk

Union SG
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Genk
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Genk
0-1
Union SG

Hrosovsky (53')
El Amine Amoura (67')
Moris (16'), Burgess (25'), Nilsson (71'), Vanhoutte (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Union SG
0-2
Genk

Vanhoutte (34')
Zeqiri (16'), Galarza (90+2')
Oyen (29'), El Khannous (43'), Munoz (45+1'), Galarza (45+3'), Paintsil (51'), Kayembe (56')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
1-1
Union SG
McKenzie (13')
Okoh Boniface (39')
Burgess (44'), El Azzouzi (52')
May 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union SG
3-0
Genk
Burgess (12', 81'), Teuma (68' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk1410132819931
2Royal AntwerpAntwerp1482427111626
3Club BruggeBrugge147432316725
4Anderlecht1465324121223
5GentGent1464423121122
6MechelenMechelen146352819921
7Union SGUnion SG144731712519
8Westerlo145362323018
9Standard Liege14536918-918
10CharleroiCharleroi145271416-217
11Sint-Truiden144552024-417
12Dender144551723-617
13Leuven143741418-416
14Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge144371626-1015
15KortrijkKortrijk144281025-1514
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA141491231-197


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