MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:30:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Genk

Union SG
2 - 0
Genk

Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 1-0 Antwerp
Monday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 2-1 Genk

Needing all three points to stand any chance of being crowned champions, Union SG are faced with a must-win clash this weekend, and we are backing them to rise up to the task and come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
51.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 23% (0.012 0.01) 25.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.86% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.03% (0.036000000000008 0.04)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)16.24% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 51.55%
    Genk 25.46%
    Draw 22.99%
Union SGDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Union SG vs Genk

Union SG
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Genk
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Genk
0-1
Union SG

Hrosovsky (53')
El Amine Amoura (67')
Moris (16'), Burgess (25'), Nilsson (71'), Vanhoutte (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Union SG
0-2
Genk

Vanhoutte (34')
Zeqiri (16'), Galarza (90+2')
Oyen (29'), El Khannous (43'), Munoz (45+1'), Galarza (45+3'), Paintsil (51'), Kayembe (56')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
1-1
Union SG
McKenzie (13')
Okoh Boniface (39')
Burgess (44'), El Azzouzi (52')
May 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union SG
3-0
Genk
Burgess (12', 81'), Teuma (68' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk29205453322165
2Club BruggeBrugge29168561342756
3Union SGUnion SG291510448232555
4Anderlecht29146947272048
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp29129847321545
6GentGent29111264031945
7Standard Liege29108112235-1338
8CharleroiCharleroi29107123432237
9MechelenMechelen2998124339435
10Westerlo2997134848034
11Leuven2971392531-634
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge29711112941-1232
13Dender2988133249-1732
14Sint-Truiden29710123953-1431
15KortrijkKortrijk2965182654-2823
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA2939172558-3318


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