Historically, matches between these sides have been fairly close, with only one of their last five meetings ending by a margin of more than one goal. With both sides likely to need the first few games to find their rhythm without their top goalscorers from last season, we doubt there will be many goals in this one and fancy it to end level at the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
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