Union SG's start to this campaign has been far from smooth, but their attacking quality is still evident despite a shaky defence, and this could help them secure something from this match. Charleroi have been solid in recent weeks, but their record against the hosts casts doubt on their ability to win here, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Charleroi
53.7% ( -3.62)	23.1% ( 0.83)	23.2% ( 2.78)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

-0.34)

44.33% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.33)

66.7% (

0.33)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

-1.35)

16.45% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

-2.49)

46.15% (

2.49)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

2.43)

33.05% (

-2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

2.6)

69.65% (

-2.6)

Score Analysis

Union SG 53.7%

Charleroi 23.2%

Draw 23.09%

Union SG	Draw	Charleroi
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.72) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.7) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.7%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Union SG vs Charleroi

Union SG

43.5%

Draw

43.5%

Charleroi

13.0%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm

Gameweek 17

Charleroi

1-3

Union SG

Guiagon (90+2')
Bager (32'), Badji (59'), Andreou (62')

El Amine Amoura (15', 65'), Terho (50')
Machida (38'), Thierry Lazare (40')

Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 9

Union SG

3-1

Charleroi

Sykes (17', 45+4'), Burgess (45')
Burgess (64')

Guiagon (28')
Marcq (55'), Ilaimaharitra (86')

Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 23

Charleroi

0-1

Union SG

Nilsson (24')

Jul 29, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 2

Union SG

1-0

Charleroi

Sykes (56')
Nieuwkoop (20'), Thierry Lazare (45')

Ilaimaharitra (61')

Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Charleroi

0-3

Union SG

Gholizadeh (38'), Van Cleemput (67'), Issouf Bayo (73')

Burgess (4'), Thierry Lazare (38'), Millan (90+1')
Bager (26'), Pirard (44'), Undav (84'), Puertas (87')
Vanzeir (45+3')

Form Guide

Union SG 0-1 Slavia Prague

Westerlo 4-3 Union SG

Slavia Prague 3-1 Union SG

Union SG 3-1 Beerschot VA

Dender 0-0 Union SG

Union SG 4-3 Lierse Kempenzonen

Charleroi 1-0 Gent

Francs Borains 1-2 Charleroi

Sint-Truiden 1-4 Charleroi

Charleroi 0-1 Antwerp

Charleroi 3-1 Kortrijk

RWDM 1-3 Charleroi

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Transfer Talk

Union SG
1 - 0
Charleroi