Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.