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Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Blackburn logo

Bournemouth
0 - 2
Blackburn


Cook (38'), Stacey (55'), Marcondes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pearson (21' og.), Paul van Hecke (65')
Brereton Diaz (42'), Paul van Hecke (86'), Buckley (90+1'), Rothwell (90+2')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Blackburn Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth play host to Blackburn Rovers on Saturday afternoon looking to end a four-match winless streak in the Championship.

Meanwhile, Blackburn have recently closed the gap to their second-placed opponents to seven points having prevailed in their last three fixtures.


Match preview

Bournemouth manager Scott Parker on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Even with the competitive nature of the Championship, few people would have felt that it was realistic for Bournemouth to record just one win in six matches after such a commanding start under Scott Parker.

However, while they would have been happy enough with last week's 1-1 draw at leaders Fulham, the Cherries have dropped off the pace of late, close to being hauled in by the chasing pack.

Although the gap to third-placed West Bromwich Albion still stands at six points, momentum is everything, and Bournemouth have very little in comparison to the clubs in the playoffs.

They have failed to post a victory from a winning position in their last four games, defeat at Derby County being followed by stalemates with Millwall, Coventry City and Fulham.

Dominic Solanke continues to score with regularity, the England international now having 17 strikes this campaign, but Parker will be desperate for his backline to get back on track having kept just one clean sheet since the start of November.

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Of all the teams that Bournemouth would not have wanted to play this week, Blackburn would have been at the top of the list with Rovers having emerged as the form team in the division.

Since the 7-0 capitulation to Fulham, Tony Mowbray's side have collected 13 points from a possible 15, only conceding two goals in the process.

As many as 326 minutes have passed by since their defence was last breached, and Mowbray will see the benefits of his players showing character in successive 1-0 wins over Stoke City and Preston North End.

While it has not hindered them on any level this season, Blackburn have not scored a goal beyond the 75th minute since September 25, a streak lasting 12 matches.

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Sam Gallagher celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 16, 2021© Reuters

While Parker may wish to switch to a back three to mirror Blackburn, Bournemouth could still stick with the formation from the Fulham game.

Ben Pearson is an alternative to Emiliano Marcondes in central midfield, but Ryan Christie and Jaidon Anthony should keep their places ahead of Jamal Lowe.

Parker is also hoping to have Jefferson Lerma available for selection, despite the Colombian midfielder facing an FA charge.

On the back of last weekend's narrow win over rivals Preston North End, Mowbray may be prepared to name the same Blackburn XI.

Daniel Ayala and Sam Gallagher are back in contention after spells on the sidelines, but goalkeeper Thomas Kaminski misses out.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Stacey, Cahill, Cook, Smith; Billing, Cook, Marcondes; Christie; Anthony, Solanke

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Pears; Lenihan, Van Hecke, Wharton; Nyambe, Travis, Rothwell, Pickering; Buckley; Brereton, Khadra


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

This is an important fixture for both clubs, one which could create a wide-open promotion race if the visitors register all three points. However, we feel that Bournemouth's quality in the final third will help them claim a share of the spoils at the Vitality Stadium.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:472348:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8293:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Blackburn

Bournemouth
54.5%
Draw
25.8%
Blackburn Rovers
19.7%
66
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