Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.