Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.