Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Ceara3 - 1Fortaleza
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 43.59% | 27.59% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% | 58.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% | 78.89% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.3% | 72.7% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 43.59%
Fortaleza 28.81%
Draw 27.59%
| Ceara | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.81% |
How you voted: Ceara vs Fortaleza
Ceara
35.0%Draw
35.0%Fortaleza
30.0%20
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 11.30pm
Sep 2, 2020 11pm
Form Guide
