Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.