As it is fair to say that neither side is prolific, a low-scoring affair is in prospect. America should edge it, as they have conceded only five goals at home this term and their opponents' glaring lack of firepower remains unresolved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Goias
52.41% ( -0.3)	27.18% ( 0.14)	20.41% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 40.88% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.62% (

-0.3)

62.38% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

-0.22)

82.01% (

0.22)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

-0.27)

24.13% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57% (

-0.38)

58.43% (

0.38)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.88% (

-0)

46.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.19% (

-0)

81.81% (

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 52.4%

Goias 20.41%

Draw 27.17%

America Mineiro	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 52.4%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.41%