MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:50:09| >> :60:900:900:
America Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 30, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Botafogo logo

America Mineiro
3 - 0
Botafogo

Paulista (6'), Avelar (35'), Egea (59')
Eder (53'), Paulista (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saravia (70'), Jefinho (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between America Mineiro and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: America Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo

 The home side have come away with either a win or a draw in all eight fixtures between these two teams domestically, and we expect that trend to continue on Thursday. Do not let their goals in the third round fool you, as neither side have shown that same quality against most of the teams in the top flight, but home field should give America a slight edge, though we do not anticipate there will be a lot of scoring opportunities on either end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
42.17% (0.169 0.17) 26.44% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 31.39% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)52.93% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)74.54% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.042000000000002 0.04)24.84% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (0.058 0.06)59.43% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.172 -0.17)31.22% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.203 -0.2)67.57% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 42.16%
    Botafogo 31.39%
    Draw 26.44%
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Botafogo

America Mineiro
45.8%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo
29.2%
24
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 1am
America Mineiro
1-1
Botafogo
Aloisio (38')
Rodriguinho (23'), Marlon (67')
Erison (86')
Lopes (90+7')
Sep 16, 2018 3pm
Botafogo
1-0
America Mineiro
Lindoso (24')
Jean (35')
Gilson (88')

Messias (26')
Luan (88')
May 20, 2018 8pm
America Mineiro
1-0
Botafogo
Juninho (78')
Norberto (36'), Juninho (45')

Morais (29'), Carli (43'), Bochecha (78'), Aguirre (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!