Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Goias had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.