Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 10, 2022 at 10pm UK

Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Sao Paulo

Hulk (88')

Vinicius (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Emelec
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	15	15	29
2	Atletico Mineiro	15	7	27
3	Fluminense	16	7	27

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Internacional	15	7	25
7	Sao Paulo	15	4	22
8	Bragantino	16	4	21

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo

Despite the quality that both teams possess in the attack, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair as Sao Paulo like to keep things tight and are not as aggressive away from home, while Mineiro tend to take some time to settle into a match. Galo always seem to find a way to get the job done on their home field, and having an extra couple of days to rest should be enough to see them narrowly defeat Tricolor Paulista. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
54.26% ( 0.03)	24.91% ( 0.31)	20.84% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74% (

-1.51)

54.26% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-1.27)

75.66% (

1.28)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

-0.58)

19.97% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.87% (

-0.94)

52.13% (

0.95)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.08% (

-1.2)

40.92% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

-1.09)

77.48% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 54.25%

Sao Paulo 20.84%

Draw 24.91%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.84%