Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Jul 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
Emelec

(Atletico Mineiro win 2-1 on aggregate)

Hulk (79' pen.)
Fernandez (45+1'), Silva (64'), Everson (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arroyo (29'), Caicedo (41'), Rodriguez (62'), Mejia (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Emelec, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	15	15	29
2	Atletico Mineiro	15	7	27
3	Athletico Paranaense	15	4	27

Emelec

Last Six:

Last Game: Emelec 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Emelec

Expect this to be a cagey affair between two well-organised teams, though we believe Galo will have an edge because of their individual quality, along with some of the most creative midfielders in South America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Emelec
63.1% ( -0.27)	23.28% ( 0.08)	13.62% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 38.74% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.61% (

0.04)

58.39% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21% (

0.03)

79% (

-0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0.08)

18.19% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8% (

-0.14)

49.19% (

0.14)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.36% (

0.31)

52.64% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.58% (

0.2)

86.42% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 63.09%

Emelec 13.62%

Draw 23.28%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Emelec
1-0 @ 16.32% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 63.09%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 13.62%