Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jun 21, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Patrick (17')
Vinicius (39'), Reinaldo (45+2'), Neves (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomez (90+1'), Cerqueira (90+6')
Danilo (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Santos	13	5	18
7	Sao Paulo	12	4	18
8	Bragantino	13	3	18

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-2 Atletico GO
Thursday, June 16 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	12	16	25
2	Corinthians	13	7	25
3	Atletico Mineiro	13	5	21

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras

Even on short rest, neither side should have any trouble mustering the intensity needed to play in this encounter, knowing the rivalry between these two clubs. Palmeiras look determined to win everything possible this year, but Sao Paulo have shown tremendous resiliency after a defeat, and they have defended Palestra well at home, conceding a goal or fewer in their last three domestic home fixtures against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
37.06% ( -0.03)	29.08% ( 0.09)	33.85% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 44.55% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82% (

-0.31)

62.18% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13% (

-0.23)

81.87% (

0.23)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

-0.18)

32.19% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

-0.2)

68.67% (

0.2)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

-0.2)

34.31% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

-0.22)

71.01% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 37.06%

Palmeiras 33.85%

Draw 29.08%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.85%