MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:23:14| >> :60:2802:2802:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Sao Paulo

Catolica
2 - 4
Sao Paulo

Zampedri (47'), Valencia (85')
Gonzalez (12'), Zampedri (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Reinaldo (15' pen.), Luciano (28', 39'), Calleri (63')
Vinicius (23'), Calleri (55'), Anderson (60'), Reinaldo (77'), Luciano (88'), Maia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Universidad Catolica and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Universidad Catolica 0-2 Sao Paulo

Universidad Catolica might be heading into this match on the back of three victories, but in the group stage, they found things difficult and that could be the case again on Friday. The visitors are a strong squad with plenty of confidence as one of the favourites to win the entire competition, and they should be able to secure a routine win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawSao Paulo
32.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 28.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 38.95% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.44% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)61.56% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.59% (-0.035 -0.04)81.41% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)35.14% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)71.89% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)30.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)66.96% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 32.21%
    Sao Paulo 38.95%
    Draw 28.83%
Universidad CatolicaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.95%

How you voted: Catolica vs Sao Paulo

Universidad Catolica
25.9%
Draw
14.8%
Sao Paulo
59.3%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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