Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians	13	7	25
3	Atletico Mineiro	13	5	21
4	Internacional	13	4	21

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Atletico Goianiense	13	-3	16
14	Flamengo	13	-2	15
15	Coritiba	13	-3	15

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo

Instilling some confidence back into what appears to be a broken Flamengo side will not be easy, nor will it happen overnight. Even if Mineiro yield a weaker side for this encounter, there is so much talent and depth at every position that we have complete confidence they will be able to shut down a struggling offensive unit in Urubu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
45.69% ( -0.15)	24.93% ( 0.12)	29.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

-0.49)

47.47% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32% (

-0.45)

69.68% (

0.46)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.27)

20.83% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

-0.42)

53.5% (

0.43)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.22)

29.85% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.27)

65.94% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.69%

Flamengo 29.39%

Draw 24.93%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.39%