MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:23:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Botafogo logo

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Botafogo

Santana (42')
Santana (37'), Henrique (76'), Terans (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kayque (90+5'), Da Silva (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Botafogo

 Despite winning on penalties in the cup in midweek, Athletico PR's defeat in normal time was their fourth successive loss, and we expect the visitors to smell blood this weekend. Castro's side have won seven of their eight league games so far this season, and we can envisage them making that record eight from nine to potentially further increase their lead at the top of Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
45.5% (0.335 0.34) 26.87% (0.528 0.53) 27.64% (-0.859 -0.86)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-2.09 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (-2.431 -2.43)56.17% (2.435 2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-2.009 -2.01)77.22% (2.012 2.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.905 -0.91)24.62% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-1.286 -1.29)59.13% (1.29 1.29)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (-1.975 -1.97)35.73% (1.98 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (-2.089 -2.09)72.5% (2.093 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.49%
    Botafogo 27.64%
    Draw 26.86%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.81 0.81)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.352 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.794 0.79)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Botafogo

Athletico Paranaense
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Botafogo
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-0
Athletico PR
 Athletico PR win 4-2 on penalties
Tiquinho (17')
Cuesta (7'), Hugo (85')

Fernando (45+1'), Henrique (77'), Erick (89')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
gameweek 38
Athletico PR
3-0
Botafogo
Adryelson (52' og.), Roque (62'), Erick (90+5')
Jul 24, 2022 1am
gameweek 19
Botafogo
2-0
Athletico PR
Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
gameweek 28
Botafogo
0-2
Athletico PR

Marcelo (69'), Babi (71'), Alexandre (83')
Kayzer (31'), Cittadini (48')
Nikao (44'), Kayzer (45+2')
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
gameweek 9
Athletico PR
1-1
Botafogo
Ravanelli (88')
Gonzalez (9')
Luis (80' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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