Brasileiro | Gameweek 4

May 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Flamengo

Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Erick (64'), Fernandinho (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barbosa (15' pen.)
Barbosa (32'), Pulgar (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Athletico PR
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
36.91% ( 0.43)	26.34% ( -0.11)	36.75% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

0.45)

51.61% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

0.39)

73.4% (

-0.39)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

0.47)

27.08% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

0.61)

62.46% (

-0.6)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.03)

27.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

0.03)

62.58% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 36.91%

Flamengo 36.75%

Draw 26.33%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.91%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.75%