Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Aucas2 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Aucas and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Independiente (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Aucas win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Flamengo |
21% ( -0.17) | 23.9% ( 0.12) | 55.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
