Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima0 - 0Athletico PR
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Botafogo
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alianza Lima | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
45.17% ( -0.26) | 26.92% ( 0.37) | 27.91% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.48% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.78% ( -1.43) | 56.21% ( 1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.73% ( -1.17) | 77.26% ( 1.16) |
Alianza Lima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( -0.76) | 24.8% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% ( -1.07) | 59.38% ( 1.06) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.85) | 35.53% ( 0.84) |