Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Mirassol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Bahia
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
3
Last Game: Mirassol 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Mirassol |
65.87% ( 0.41) | 20.84% ( -0.23) | 13.29% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( 0.52) | 50.11% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( 0.46) | 72.08% ( -0.46) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( 0.29) | 14.4% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.57) | 42.31% ( -0.57) |
| Mirassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( 0.03) | 48.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.69% ( 0.02) | 83.31% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 65.85%
Mirassol 13.29%
Draw 20.84%
| Bahia | Draw | Mirassol |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 13% 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 65.85% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.84% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 13.29% |
