Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
