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Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Coritiba

Corinthians
3 - 1
Coritiba

Guedes (36'), Adson (67'), Gustavo (85')
Ramos (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castan (54')
Val (16'), Farias (82'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Coritiba

Corinthians are yet to lose at home in the league this season, and we think they will get the better of a Coritiba side that have lost seven of their last nine away games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
60.79% (-0.16 -0.16) 23.22% (0.115 0.11) 15.98% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.89% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.358 -0.36)54.37% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.299 -0.3)75.75% (0.294 0.29)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)17.55% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.326 -0.33)48.08% (0.32 0.32)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.23% (-0.159 -0.16)46.76% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69% (-0.12 -0.12)82.31% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 60.79%
    Coritiba 15.98%
    Draw 23.22%
CorinthiansDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 60.79%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 15.98%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Coritiba

Corinthians
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Coritiba
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2020 12.30am
Coritiba
0-1
Corinthians

Mailton (20'), Augusto (78')
Santos (21' pen.)
Vieira (63'), Fagner (69')
Aug 20, 2020 1.30am
Corinthians
3-1
Coritiba
Natel (38'), Jo (49'), Silva (87')
Araos (17'), Piton (73')
Sassa (42')
Patrick (28')
Sasse (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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