

Corinthians3 - 1Coritiba
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Internacional | 17 | 8 | 29 |
4 | Corinthians | 17 | 2 | 29 |
5 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 28 |
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Cuiaba | 17 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Coritiba | 17 | -7 | 19 |
17 | America Mineiro | 17 | -9 | 18 |
We said: Corinthians 2-1 Coritiba
Corinthians are yet to lose at home in the league this season, and we think they will get the better of a Coritiba side that have lost seven of their last nine away games in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Coritiba |
60.79% (![]() | 23.22% (![]() | 15.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% (![]() | 54.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.25% (![]() | 75.75% (![]() |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% (![]() | 17.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.91% (![]() | 48.08% (![]() |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.23% (![]() | 46.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.69% (![]() | 82.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Corinthians | Draw | Coritiba |
1-0 @ 14.28% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.42% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 60.79% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.98% |