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Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Corinthians

Fluminense
4 - 0
Corinthians

Manoel (15'), Cano (42', 71'), Fred (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Biro (40'), Moraes (49'), Renan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

Last Six:
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Fluminense 2-1 Corinthians

 A tough run of luck with injuries and a recent lack of goals means that Corinthians should start as outsiders - particularly away at the Maracana. Therefore, Flu can grasp their chance to close the gap between the teams down to just two points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
49.22% (0.385 0.38) 26.96% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 23.81% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-0.196 -0.2)58.91% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-0.152 -0.15)79.4% (0.149 0.15)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.092999999999989 0.09)24.06% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.133 0.13)58.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (-0.458 -0.46)40.6% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (-0.415 -0.41)77.2% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 49.22%
    Corinthians 23.81%
    Draw 26.96%
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.77% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Corinthians

Fluminense
63.4%
Draw
17.1%
Corinthians
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 1am
Corinthians
1-0
Fluminense
Pereira (69')
Fagner (31')

Barcelos (28')
Jun 27, 2021 8pm
Fluminense
1-1
Corinthians
Cazares (70')
Claro (35'), Barcelos (65'), Andre (83')
Hernandez (50')
Jo (37' pen.)
Araos (45+2')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Corinthians
5-0
Fluminense
Jo (26'), Cazares (56'), Fagner (62'), Vital (67'), Vieira (90+1')
Cantillo (46')

Hudson (45+1'), Fred (45+2')
Sep 13, 2020 8pm
Fluminense
2-1
Corinthians
Nene (8', 88' pen.)
Moreira (36'), Nene (66')
Barcelos (90+2')
Vital (90+5')
Gabriel (4'), Walter (21'), Mendez (46'), Camacho (66')
Dec 8, 2019 7pm
Corinthians
1-2
Fluminense
Gustavo (63')
Gil (66')
Evanilson (8', 28')
Nene (34'), Evanilson (45'), Juliao (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico Mineiro00000000
2Bahia00000000
3Botafogo00000000
4BragantinoBragantino00000000
5CearaCeara00000000
6Corinthians00000000
7Cruzeiro00000000
8FlamengoFlamengo00000000
9Fluminense00000000
10FortalezaFortaleza00000000
11Gremio00000000
12InternacionalInternacional00000000
13JuventudeJuventude00000000
14Mirassol00000000
15PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
16SantosSantos00000000
17Sao Paulo00000000
18Sport RecifeSport00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000
> Brasileiro Full Table


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