Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Pacaembu

Corinthians
1 - 0
Flamengo

Rodinei (52' og.)
Ramos (35'), Giovane (81')
Gustavo (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (16'), Gomes (75'), Pedro (90+3'), Barbosa (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 7-1 Tolima
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Bragantino	16	4	21
9	Flamengo	15	2	21
10	Botafogo	15	-2	21

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo

The morale boost from midweek events should lift both sides for the occasion, but neither is likely to give too much away ahead of their two-legged Libertadores tie in the coming weeks. Despite benefiting from home advantage, Corinthians are still short of quality up front, so may be forced to settle for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
40.17% ( 0.21)	27.45% ( -0.08)	32.38% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.43% (

0.26)

56.57% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.45% (

0.21)

77.55% (

-0.21)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.24)

27.57% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.31)

63.1% (

-0.31)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.04)

32.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

0.05)

68.91% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 40.16%

Flamengo 32.37%

Draw 27.45%

Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo

Corinthians

46.2%

Draw

15.4%

Flamengo

38.5%

Head to Head

Nov 18, 2021 12.30am

Flamengo

1-0

Corinthians

Henrique (90+4')
Gabriel (40')

Pereira (23'), Victor (40')

Aug 1, 2021 8pm

Corinthians

1-3

Flamengo

Vitinho (89')
Roni (42')

Ribeiro (7'), Henrique (40'), Henrique (45')
De Arrascaeta (70')

Feb 14, 2021 7pm

Flamengo

2-1

Corinthians

Arao (10'), Barbosa (55')
Luis (83')

Natel (20')
Santos (29'), Ramiro (37'), Fagner (41'), Gil (54'), Roni (90+5')

Oct 18, 2020 8pm

Corinthians

1-5

Flamengo

Gil (64')
Xavier (41'), Camacho (45'), Otero (48'), Vieira (90+2')

Ribeiro (32'), Vitinho (52'), Bernardo de Souza (58'), Henrique (71'), Diego (86')
Bernardo de Souza (42'), Henrique (45+1'), Maia (63'), Luis (77'), Gerson (90+2')

Nov 3, 2019 7pm

Flamengo

4-1

Corinthians

Henrique (45', 45', 46'), Vitinho (67')

Vital (52')
Regis (46')

Form Guide

Boca Juniors 0-0 Corinthians (5-6 pen.)

Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians

Corinthians 0-0 Boca Juniors

Corinthians 0-0 Santos

Corinthians 4-0 Santos