While Vitoria will be looking to end their winless run against Corinthians, their away record offers little optimism heading into Thursday's game. Oliveira's men have also struggled to grind out results of late and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts at the Neo Quimica Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Vitoria
57.31% ( -0.46)	23.56% ( 0.04)	19.13% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.42)

51.13% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.36)

72.98% (

-0.36)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0.02)

17.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

-0.03)

48.21% (

0.03)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

0.72)

40.97% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.48% (

0.64)

77.52% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 57.3%

Vitoria 19.13%

Draw 23.55%

Corinthians	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.13%