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Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 22, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Vasco da Gama

Cruzeiro
2 - 2
Vasco

Arthur (41'), Rodrigues (45+9' pen.)
Arthur (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Luis Rodriguez (15'), Pec (77')
Rossi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 18 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco da Gama

Both teams will see this game as an ideal time to secure three points to try to push away from the relegation zone, but considering their league positions it will likely be a tense fixture. Considering how little there is to split them in the table and throughout the campaign, it would not be a surprise to see a cautious draw played out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawVasco da Gama
48.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.55%24.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)77.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.38%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.2% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 48.63%
    Vasco da Gama 24.82%
    Draw 26.54%
CruzeiroDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.63%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Vasco

Cruzeiro
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
Vasco da Gama
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Vasco
0-1
Cruzeiro

Carvalho (45+3'), Capasso (86')
Machado (45+4')
Bruno (54'), Robert (79'), William (90+3')
Dec 2, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 36
Vasco
1-0
Cruzeiro
Guarin (10')
Richard (45'), Rossi (62'), Guarin (92')

Ederson (45'), Gabriel (94'), Fred (95')
Sep 1, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 17
Cruzeiro
1-0
Vasco
Mauricio (80')
Robinho (27'), Henrique (56'), Gabriel (81')

Danilo (55'), Richard (58'), Magno (70'), Rossi (74')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
2-0
Cruzeiro
Pikachu (49'), Lopez (70')
Andrey (22'), Castan (47'), Werley (63'), Lopez (63'), Gustavo (69')

Silva (38'), Sassa (71')
Mancuello (72')
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
Cruzeiro
1-1
Vasco
Raniel (61')
Edilson (87')
Andrey (22')
Wagner (44')
rhs 2.0
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1Botafogo382310559293079
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5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
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7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
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10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
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19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
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