Both teams will see this game as an ideal time to secure three points to try to push away from the relegation zone, but considering their league positions it will likely be a tense fixture.
Considering how little there is to split them in the table and throughout the campaign, it would not be a surprise to see a cautious draw played out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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