Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Nov 18, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza0 - 1Cruzeiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Cruzeiro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Cruzeiro |
44.32% ( 0.5) | 27.74% ( -0.03) | 27.93% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.84% ( -0.09) | 59.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.41% ( -0.07) | 79.59% ( 0.07) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( 0.22) | 26.56% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.23% ( 0.29) | 61.77% ( -0.29) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.42) | 37.11% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.1% ( -0.42) | 73.9% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 44.32%
Cruzeiro 27.93%
Draw 27.74%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.93% |
Form Guide
