Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Cruzeiro
21.38% ( -0.35)	25.29% ( -0.27)	53.33% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89% (

0.63)

55.11% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63% (

0.52)

76.36% (

-0.51)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

0.01)

40.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

77.42% (

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

0.52)

20.68% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

0.8)

53.27% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 21.38%

Cruzeiro 53.33%

Draw 25.28%

Coritiba	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.38%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.49% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.33%