MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:20:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Kuscevic (45')
Augusto (42'), Martinez (43'), Pikachu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Felipe (19'), Madson (47'), Christian (49'), Vitor (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Fortaleza 1-1 Athletico Paranaense

While Athletico Paranaense have raced to the top of the league standings, there are still a few question marks about whether they will be able to sustain that level of performance, especially given their average away record. Fortaleza have certainly not set the league alight this term, but they have maintained an unbeaten league record after five games, and we feel they will take a share of the spoils from this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
50.31% (1.049 1.05) 25.25% (-1.035 -1.04) 24.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.52% (2.972 2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (3.9 3.9)52.16% (-3.906 -3.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (3.261 3.26)73.88% (-3.267 -3.27)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (2.066 2.07)20.74% (-2.072 -2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (3.153 3.15)53.38% (-3.157 -3.16)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (2.142 2.14)36.26% (-2.147 -2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (2.112 2.11)73.04% (-2.116 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 50.31%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.44%
    Draw 25.25%
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.83% (-1.11 -1.11)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.284 0.28)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.438 0.44)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.352 0.35)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.28 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.177 0.18)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-1.24 -1.24)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.407 0.41)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.755 -0.75)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Athletico PR

Fortaleza
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Athletico Paranaense
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Willian (57')
Erick (90+2')
Guilherme (54')
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Fortaleza
1-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (84')
Britez (37'), Marinho (56'), Galhardo (90+5')

Kaue (50'), Cirino (61'), Moura (90+5')
Oct 5, 2022 11.30pm
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Fortaleza
0-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (72')
Fernandes (50'), Cirino (82'), Erick (86')
Oct 23, 2021 11.15pm
Gameweek 28
Fortaleza
3-0
Athletico PR
Lima (1'), Pikachu (7'), Robson (61')
Robson (73'), Ederson (77')

Canesin (32'), Christian (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15Fluminense34108163038-838
16JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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