![Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/vaslog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
![Fortaleza Fortaleza](https://sm.imgix.net/19/14/forlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Vasco3 - 3Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Vasco da Gama 0-0 Fortaleza (Fortaleza advances on penalties)
The last four competitive matches between these two teams at Estadio Sao Januario were decided by a goal or fewer, and we expect another nail-biter on Tuesday. In the end, we are counting on Fortaleza's experience in pressure situations over the past few seasons to give them a slight edge in this decisive encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fortaleza |
47.35% (![]() | 25.17% (![]() | 27.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% (![]() | 49.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% (![]() | 71.63% (![]() |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% (![]() | 53.73% (![]() |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.63% (![]() | 32.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.12% (![]() | 68.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 47.35%
Fortaleza 27.48%
Draw 25.17%
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 27.48% |
How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza
Vasco da Gama
47.4%Draw
36.8%Fortaleza
15.8%19
Head to Head
May 1, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Fortaleza
F
vs.
V
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Nov 19, 2020 10pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 10:24:49
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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