Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte
Nacional4 - 1Fortaleza
Callejo (6'), Prost (37'), Guerra (70'), Alvarez (90+3')
Hoyos (66'), Guerra (72')
Hoyos (66'), Guerra (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 5 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 5 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | Fortaleza |
42.09% ( -1.07) | 24.77% ( 0.25) | 33.13% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
