Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.

Result
Nacional Potosi	Draw	Fortaleza
42.09% ( -1.07)	24.77% ( 0.25)	33.13% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

-0.89)

45.22% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.44% (

-0.86)

67.56% (

0.86)

Nacional Potosi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

-0.86)

21.51% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43% (

-1.35)

54.56% (

1.35)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.07)

26.28% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

0.1)

61.39% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Nacional Potosi 42.09%

Fortaleza 33.13%

Draw 24.76%

Nacional Potosi	Draw	Fortaleza
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.13%