Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 0Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Fortaleza 1-1 Athletico Paranaense
Given that Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense are locked on 20 points, we expect Sunday's clash to be a tense and cagey affair, with a low-scoring draw looking like the most probable result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
62.26% ( -0.03) | 22.47% ( -0) | 15.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.49% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
