Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors1 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Fortaleza |
55.08% ( -0.37) | 24.77% ( 0.12) | 20.15% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 46.7% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% ( -0.16) | 54.52% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% ( -0.14) | 75.88% ( 0.13) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( -0.21) | 19.74% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.23% ( -0.33) | 51.77% ( 0.33) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( 0.17) | 41.81% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.73% ( 0.15) | 78.27% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors 55.07%
Fortaleza 20.15%
Draw 24.76%
Boca Juniors | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 13.39% 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.15% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 22:31:04
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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